Recent domestic cotton trend analysis

As of today, the accumulative turnover of cotton in 2011 was 1,368,910 tons, with 941,680 tons in Xinjiang and 427,230 tons in the mainland. Affected by the increase in the price of cotton in the past two days, the number of storage and storage has decreased from the previous period.

After the ** price rises beyond the forward value of the reserve price, the cotton company will be more willing to preserve the value of the **. From this point of view, the cotton price will also face huge pressure of hedging, and whether the increase can be sustained is doubtful.

The recent rebound in cotton is due to the tight supply of cotton on the market under the support of the State Reserve, and the short-term contradiction between the demand for restocking by companies that have continuously destocked during this round of decline.

In this case, the new cotton will generally be reluctant to sell. The more it is reluctant to sell, the more it will be short, and the price will be firm.

However, with everyone's further understanding of fundamentals and sales of downstream products, cotton prices will fall back. Therefore, under the support of the State Reserve of China's reserves and supporting the market, there will be weak consumption at the top, and the future of cotton will be dominated by shocks. After the ups and downs, we will continue to find a reasonable price range.

Judging from the trend of the market, Zheng cotton 1205 opened lower on the 13th, after the opening price fell unilaterally, the lowest to 20480, late rebound, positions have been reduced.

In recent days, the growth of cotton has slowed down, but before the downstream consumption has improved, the increase in cotton is limited.

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